For as long as I can remember, I’ve had a love for nature and how things work. I’ve always had a fascination with snowstorms, hurricanes, and tornadoes, yet what really sparked my interest so much, that I decided that I wanted to make weather forecasting my career is something I don’t really know. Maybe it was the Blizzard of 2016, who knows?
One of the things I like about the weather is that it’s always in constant state of change. It doesn’t stay the same, unless you live in San Diego, California. In weather forecasting, I feel like I’m doing something different every day. Not all hurricanes are the same, not all thunderstorms are the same, and not all heat waves are the same.
My forecasting process is a bit different than that of most weather enthusiasts and meteorologists. I tend to look at current observations, then look at model outputs from a broad perspective (hemispherically) before narrowing it down to synoptic scale, mesoscale, and microscale. When looking at model data, I use each scenario from each model and throw out what I think will not happen. From there I choose which one or ones have the most realistic scenario of what will happen in the hours, days, and even weeks ahead. It’s like process of elimination.
To aid my forecasting, I like to look at past weather events and weather patterns that were similar to an ongoing one. A lot of times, the past is the key to the future.
One of the hottest topics related to weather is that of climate change. As many of my family members, friends, and social media followers know, I am a skeptic. I am not a “denier.”
I think some of the warming we have seen over the last 50 years is due to mankind’s land use, urbanization, and fossil fuel burning, however I think most of that warming can be explained by multidecadal natural climate variability. When I’m not forecasting, I like to do research. My main area of research is in extreme weather and how such events are not linked to man-made climate change.
Anthony Watts from Watts Up With That and Tom Richard of Climate Change Dispatch have allowed me to write articles on their blogs, an accomplishment I am very proud of and an opportunity I’m forever grateful for.
When I’m not doing anything related to weather or climate, I like to watch Major League Baseball (my favorite team is the Washington Nationals), or go outside and run at the park, walk the dogs, ride my ATV, or go swimming. I am also a Christian and I attend church nearly every Sunday.
I’m currently a junior in high school, and I plan on going to college to major in meteorology. My goal is to obtain a Master’s of Science (M.S.) degree, though I may go for a Ph.D. in the future.