Last weekend, I wrote a long and detailed article explaining why man-made climate change is not causing more frequent cold air outbreaks in the mid-latitudes.
I have received a lot of backlash from meteorologists and weather enthusiasts today because of some comments I made on Twitter yesterday evening and this morning that disputed scientifically incorrect claims made by the United Nations. Because we live in a highly sensitive society, these meteorologists and weather enthusiasts were offended by my remarks about jet stream dynamics and movement and how they relate to climate change.
These people have the wrong impression that I am a know-it-all, when in fact that is not the case. Never once in my life, on social media, in front of my friends, or family have I proclaimed myself to be an expert in meteorology. Obviously, for someone to be an expert, they must first and foremost have at least a B.S. degree in atmospheric physics, meteorology, climatology, or some other related field, in addition to having studied the subject for years, if not decades. I respect each individual who has done so, and that is something I aspire to do and will do anything to achieve those dreams and goals.
However, just because I’m not a degreed scientist or an expert does not mean I am not knowledgeable. That’s a common fallacy many people believe. Unlike most young weather enthusiasts, I have done extensive research on weather processes, weather forecasting, and climate change by reading books, reading peer-reviewed (and some non-peer-reviewed) publications from journals like AMS and AGU. I have also had long email and Twitter direct message discussions with meteorologists and climatologists and I have learned better forecasting techniques from them.
I’m beginning to have a hunch that part of the reason people get triggered and offended by some of my Tweets is simply because I don’t think that climate change is a crisis. People constantly label me as a “climate denier,” which except for the fact that the label is straight up derogatory, it is quite inaccurate.
My stance on climate change is pretty simple and fairly mainstream (at least it used to be). I think humans have indeed impacted weather patterns and climate change mainly though land use change, urbanization, and to some slight extent, yes, the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide since the industrial revolution. However, despite this, I see no legitimate scientific evidence suggesting that we are in a climate crisis, ecological breakdown, climate emergency, or that the world will end by the 2020 Presidential Election, within 18 months, 5 years, 10 years, 12 years, or 39 years depending upon which “climate expert” you ask.
The science and theory surrounding man-made global warming, not all of it which I agree with (which is okay in science), is not too terribly alarming. Most peer-reviewed publications that I have read aren’t very alarmist in nature, nor are they preaching that human civilization will collapse if we don’t do anything right now. The issue though, is that science writers and journalists at various mainstream media outlets take research or the abstract from these publications and twist them to make them more alarming, more appealing to their readers, and/or better for ratings, something that I do not do.
Here lately, it seems like EVERY SINGLE WEATHER or WEATHER-RELATED EVENT that occurs; it doesn’t matter whether that’s a summer heatwave in July, a flash flood event from an afternoon thunderstorm, a hailstorm, a hurricane, tornadoes, wildfires, or a cold spell, it’s portrayed by the media as being EVIDENCE OF HUMAN-INDUCED CLIMATE CHANGE. This is just flat out wrong because weather and climate are two different things. One of the rules climate activists like to use (that I personally like and find helpful) anytime a skeptic uses cold weather and snow as evidence that climate change is not occurring, is to say “weather and climate are not the same.” But this SAME RULE does NOT apply if heatwaves and hurricanes are being blamed on climate change. It’s essentially do as I say, not as I do with these people, and it is disgusting.
While I agree with the majority of scientists that natural or man-made fluctuations in climate will alter the intensity, duration, and frequency of any given weather event, our ability to pinpoint climate change on any single weather event is impossible given the chaotic nature of Earth’s weather and climate system.